缺血性中风病中医证候要素动态变化与NIHSS评分变化相关性的贝叶斯网络分析
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国家自然科学基金课题(编号:30873460),构建表征证候动态变化纵向结局评价指标的示范研究;中医药行业科研专项课题(编号:201107006),中医慢病临床科研体系及其成果转化应用模式研究


Bayesian Network Analysis of Correlation between TCM Syndrome Dynamic Changes and NIHSS Scores of Ischemia Stroke
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    目的:探讨缺血性中风病中医证候要素动态变化与NIHSS评分变化之间的关系。方法:以379例缺血性中风病临床数据为基础,在5个不同时点(0d、3d、14d、28d、3m)采集《中风病辨证诊断标准》中风、火、痰、瘀、气虚、阴虚阳亢6个证候要素的评分和《美国国立卫生院卒中量表》(NIHSS)评分,运用贝叶斯网络分析其相关性。结果:0~3d时,NIHSS评分改善,证候要素痰、瘀、阴虚阳亢和气虚的改善概率分别为0.809、0.896、0.934、0.961;3~14d时,火热、瘀、痰、阴虚阳亢和气虚的改善概率分别为0.546、0.843、0.895、0.962、0.944;14~28d时,火热、痰、阴虚阳亢和气虚的改善概率分别为0.53、0.815、0.966、0.987;28d至3m时,风、火热、瘀、痰、阴虚阳亢和气虚的改善概率分别为0.507、0.667、0.854、0.505、0.905、0.914,与NIHSS呈现出明显的正向关系。结论:缺血性中风病的NIHSS评分变化在不同时点均有多个证候要素评分与之相关,其相关程度随时间动态演变。

    Abstract:

    To investigate the correlation between TCM syndrome dynamic changes and NIHSS scores of ischemia stroke. Methods: The patients with ischemia stroke ( n = 379 ) were selected and their scores of six syndrome factors (wind, fire, phlegm, stasis, qi-deficiency and hyperactivity of yang due to yin-deficiency) according to the Diagnostic Standard of Syndrome Differentiation of Stroke and the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at 5 different time points (0d, 3d ,14d, 28d , 3m)were recorded respectively. The correlation between syndrome factors and NIHSS scores at different time points were studied by using the method of Bayesian network. Results: NIHSS were improved during 0d-3d, and the improvement rate of phlegm, stasis, hyperactivity of yang due to yin-deficiency and qi-deficiency were respectively 0.809, 0.896, 0.934, 0.961; during 3d-14d , the improvement rate of fire, stasis, phlegm, hyperactivity of yang due to yin-deficiency and qi-deficiency were 0.546, 0.843, 0.895, 0.962, 0.944; during 14d-28d , the improvement rate of fire, phlegm, hyperactivity of yang due to yin-deficiency and qi-deficiency were 0.53, 0.815, 0.966, 0.987; during 28d-3m ,the improvement rate of wind, fire, stasis, phlegm, hyperactivity of yang due to yin-deficiency and qi-deficiency were 0.507, 0.667, 0.854, 0.505, 0.905, 0.914. Conclusion: There is a correlation between TCM syndrome factors manifestations and NIHSS scores in ischemia stroke at different time points, and the correlation degree changes dynamically over time.

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江丽杰 胡镜清 易丹辉 陈 倩 刘保延.缺血性中风病中医证候要素动态变化与NIHSS评分变化相关性的贝叶斯网络分析[J].世界中医药,2013,8(06).

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  • 收稿日期:2013-05-23
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  • 在线发布日期: 2013-07-01
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